Tim Bean
5/19/2012
So, we are back to what has become an annual event, it may even happen more frequently than that on some occasions; and that is our government’s need to feed its heroine like habit of spending money. I am of course referring to the need to once again raise the so called “debt ceiling,” which is very much like us mere mortals calling Master Card and/or Visa and asking them to increase our credit limits. Fortunately, or unfortunately as the case may be, Master Card and Visa typically meets those requests with a denial. However when it comes to our country’s debt ceiling and the need to raise it, a denial is rarely given.
The reason for a credit card company’s denial to raise one’s credit limit is because they have all sorts of risk models to determine whether or not you are a worthy enough credit risk for such an increase. All that simply means is that they want to be absolutely sure that should they allow you a bigger shovel for you to dig a deeper debt hole with, that they still have a very high likelihood that they will get the money you owe them. While during the credit binge that pretty much everyone was on during the last 10 to 15 years where these credit card companies, banks, and other lending institutions tended to loan money to anyone, and their occasional family pet, some level of sanity has returned to the lending industry these days. Sadly though sanity is seldom seen in the halls of government; it is so rare that the real world and the physics that govern it are seen as some sort of mass hallucination being had by those who are not in government.
The long and the short of it is quite simply this. The debt ceiling will be raised, and more than likely it will be raised again, and then again, and again. Quite honestly I believe that the debt ceiling will continue to be raised right up to the point where our government is completely broke (if it isn’t already) and then it will continue to be raised some more. Yep, I doubt that there will ever come a time where our government (and maybe any government) actually displays enough sanity to evoke the phrase, “when you find yourself in a hole, it is wise to quit digging.” If you need proof of this all I ask you to do is to look at Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, and Spain.
To rein in spending, and actually live within the means of the revenue taken in through taxes means that a government is more than likely going to have to make some difficult cuts in their budgets. In Europe they call these budget cuts “austerity measures” and the institution of them has not been met very well by many of their citizens. To institute budget cuts, enough so to where the national debt can actually be paid down, means that the government may have to essentially take away the punch bowl; meaning that certain budgetary sacred cows will have to be scrapped (at worst) or radically overhauled (at best). These sacred cows are what we have dubbed “entitlement” programs. They are things like Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, Federally Subsidized Student Loans, as well as other programs. These are programs that no elected official is willing to touch, for fear of losing their cushy job. Again, if you don’t think that touching these so called sacred cows in even a remotely negatively perceived fashion would result in an equally negative reaction by the public, I give you the Greeks.
Athens has damn near been under a perpetual riot of its citizens who are protesting against these austerity measures because it greatly reduces the amount of free stuff that they receive from their government. So, yes ladies and gentlemen, the debt ceiling will be raised again, whether you want it to be or not, because it is easier to do that than it would be to actually attempt to fix a problem that will definitely piss many people off; but rest assured eventually those people and many more will get their chance to be as pissed off as their Greek brethren, so at least we have that to look forward to.










